TY JOUR TI ANALYSIS OF METHODS AND APPROACHES FOR PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF INCIDENTS BASED ON INFORMATION FROM SOCIAL NETWORKS KW social networks KW forecasting KW incidents KW emergency services KW information technology JO Problems of risk management in the technosphere AU Deineka, E.G. PY 2026 IS 2025 PB Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of Emercom of Russia