%0 Journal Article %T TO QUESTION ABOUT PROGNOSTICATION OF EXTRAORDINARY SITUATIONS OF NATURAL CHARACTER ON BASIS OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION %A Grashchenko, E.A. %A Gagarina, T.V. %A Ivanov, A.N. %K extraordinary situation of natural character, method prognostications, model of prognostication, expert methods, mathematical methods, regression, polynomial %J NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS) %D 2015 %N 2015 %P 4 %I Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of Emercom of Russia