TY JOUR TI STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FIRES’ DYNAMICS OF 2003-2016 KW dynamics’ indicators KW trend model KW forecasting KW statistics JO NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS) AU Kryukova, M.S. PY 2018 IS 2018 PB Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of Emercom of Russia