TY JOUR TI THE QUESTION OF BUILDING A SHORT-TERM PREDICTIVE MODELS OF WATER LEVELS ON STRETCHES OF THE RIVERS KW emergency KW mathematical model KW prediction KW regression KW rainfall events KW hydrological forecasts KW a computer model JO Scientific and analytical journal «Vestnik Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia» AU Anashechkin, A.D. AU Trophimets, E.N. PY 2019 IS PB Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of Emercom of Russia