%0 Journal Article %T IMPROVEMENT OF METHODS FOR FORECASTING THE RISKS OF NATURAL EMERGENCIES %A Korolev, D.S. %A Russkih, E.A. %A Konchakov, S.A. %K orecasting, management, risks, floods, hazardous phenomena %J Problems of risk management in the technosphere %D 2024 %N %P 11 %I Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of Emercom of Russia