APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION

Mihail Volokobinskiy; Olga Pekarskaya; Mikhail Kotyukov

doi:10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99

UDC 338.054.23

APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION

Published in NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS) · Volume 2026, Issue 2 · Pages 90–99 · Rubric: ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION SECURITY IN EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

DOI: https://doi.org/10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99

Received: 01.02.2026 Accepted: 17.05.2026 Published: 21.05.2026

Authors

Mihail Volokobinskiy

ORCID

Olga Pekarskaya

Mikhail Kotyukov

Mihail Volokobinskiy

Academic degree: doctor of technical sciences

Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia professor · department of higher mathematics and system modeling of complex processes · Russian Federation · Saint-Peterburg

ORCID

Olga Pekarskaya

Academic degree: candidate of economic sciences

Saint Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia Associate Professor · Department of Higher Mathematics and System Modeling of Complex Processes · Saint Petersburg

Nacional'nyy otkrytyy institut Head of the Department · Russian Federation

Mikhail Kotyukov

National Open Institute student · Russian Federation

ABSTRACT

Today, changes in the geophysical environment, which includes the technical environment, increase the risk of natural and man-made accidents, because there is a synergistic effect of interaction between these environments. Therefore, it is very important to use scientifically based approaches to modeling and forecasting accidents and emergencies, as well as to assess the risk of their occurrence in certain territories. The analysis of risks and sources of man-made hazards was carried out, taking into account the influence of territorial factors. The article demonstrates the application of the analysis of hierarchies method for effectively ranking six most important criteria of man-made hazards in terms of their significance.

KEYWORDS

factors of man-made hazards, man-made emergencies, risk assessment, hierarchy analysis method, and priority vector

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Head of the Department of Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies of Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia

Alexander Matveev

Secretary, editor of the editorial department of the editorial department of the center for the organization of research and editorial activities

Polina Bolotova

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Volokobinskiy M. Y., Pekarskaya O. A., Kotyukov M. V. APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION // NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS). 2026. no. 2. pp. 90-99. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99. (Date of access 29.10.2026).

MLA

Mihail Volokobinskiy, Pekarskaya O. A., Kotyukov M. V.. "APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION." NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS) 2026.2 (2026): 90-99. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99.

APA

Volokobinskiy M. Y., Pekarskaya O. A., Kotyukov M. V. (2026). APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION. NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS), 2026(2), 90-99. https://doi.org/10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99

Chicago

Mihail Volokobinskiy, Pekarskaya O. A., Kotyukov M. V.. "APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION." NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS) 2026, no. 2 (2026): 90-99. https://doi.org/10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99.

WIKI

{{cite journal | author = Volokobinskiy M. Y., Pekarskaya O. A., Kotyukov M. V. | title = APPLICATION OF THE HIERARCHY ANALYSIS METHOD TO ASSESS THE RISK OF A TECHNOGENIC EMERGENCY IN A REGION | journal = NATURAL AND MAN-MADE RISKS (PHYSICO-MATHEMATICAL AND APPLIED ASPECTS) | year = 2026 | volume = 2026 | issue = 2 | pages = 90-99 | doi = 10.61260/2304-0130-2026-2-90-99 }}

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