The event tree which helps us to estimate the risk to face the fire in Lvov residential buildings according to the causes of fires was built. The verification of the hypothesis about the distribution of risks' values according to the theoretical laws was conducted. It was established that the risks to face the fire due to careless handling of fire are normally distributed, and for reasons of violations of the use of electrical and heating systems are exponentially distributed.
fire risk, normal distribution, exponential distribution
1. Aven T. Quantitative risk assessment: the scientific platform. Norway: University of Stavanger; Cambridge University Press, 2011. 211 p.
2. Yung David Tin Lam Principles of fire risk assessment in buildings. Toronto: Yung & Associates Inc. Canada, 2008. 227 p.
3. Pozharnye riski. Prognozirovanie dinamiki pozharnyh riskov / pod. red. N.N. Brushlinskogo. M.: FGU VNIIPO, 2005. Vyp. 3. 64 s.
4. Henli E. Dzh., Kumamoto H. Nadezhnost' tehnicheskih sistem i ocenka riska. M.: Mashinostroenie, 1984. 528 s.
5. Pawel Janik Ocena ryzyka w procesie przeciwdzialania zagrozeniom ludzi i srodowiska (cz. II) // Patrz: Ochorona Przeciwpozarova, 2004. № 4. C. 18-25.
6. Kosterev V.V. Nadezhnost' tehnicheskih sistem i upravlenie riskom: ucheb. posobie. M.: MIFI, 2008. 280 s.
7. Bєgun V.V. Monіtoring bezpeki na osnovі analіzu іmovіrnіsnih strukturno-logіchnih modeley virobnictva // Modelyuvannya ta іnformacіynі tehnologії. Kiїv: ІPME іm. G.Є. Puhova NAN Ukraїni, 2009. Vip. 52. S. 17-26.
