Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The article attempts to formulating and solving the problem of estimating and predicting the stability of the geodynamic environment of distributed natural-technical system based on the generalized probabilistic model that takes into account the distribution in the study area of tectonic fault violations and other irregularities of the geological environment.

Keywords:
estimating, prediction, probabilistic model, geodynamic risks, tectonic faults, heterogeneity of the geological environment
References

1. Minaev V.A., Faddeev A.O. Ocenki geoekologicheskih riskov. Modelirovanie bezopasnosti turistsko-rekreacionnyh territoriy. M.: Finansy i statistika, INFRA-M, 2009. 370 s.

2. Faddeev A.O., Danilov R.M. Geodinamicheskaya bezopasnost' landshaftno-territorial'nyh kompleksov: monografiya / pod red. V.A. Minaeva. Habarovsk, 2010. 169 s.

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4. Minaev V.A., Faddeev A.O., Danilov R.M. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie riskov geodinamicheskogo proishozhdeniya // Spectehnika i svyaz'. 2011. № 1. S. 48-52.

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7. Minaev V.A., Faddeev A.O. «Medlennye katastrofy», zdorov'e i bezopasnost' naseleniya / Sistemy bezopasnosti: materialy XV Nauch.-tehn. konf. M.: S.-Peterb. akad. GPS MChS Rossii, 2006. S. 14-17.

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