On the basis of expert knowledge there has been developed a logical-linguistic model of quantitative evaluation of probability of technosphere emergencies that is the occurrence of metal26coating defects of a zero mark of a launch complex after space rocket launching. The model has been tested on damageability probability estimates of two schemes of bolted and welded metal coating connections. A bolted connection is given preference even during heavy space rocket launching.
logiko-lingvisticheskaya model', startovyy kompleks, metallooblicovka nulevoy otmetki, veroyatnost' vozniknoveniya defektov
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