THE MARKOV MODEL OF CASCADE DEVELOPMENT IN THE FIRE AND EXPLOSIVE SITUATION IN PARKING LOT
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The article deals with issues related to fires and gas explosions in limited construction volumes, in particular, fires of liquid-fueled cars and explosions of gas-cylinder cars in underground parking lots and ground parking lots of a closed type. It is shown that various emergency situations of a cascading nature can occur in such parking lots – from fires of one or several cars to explosions of gas-cylinder cars both due to depressurization of gas-cylinder equipment and due to heat flows from neighboring burning cars. A Markov chain of cascading development of an emergency situation in a parking lot is constructed and quantitative estimates of the probabilities of the corresponding situations are obtained.

Keywords:
car, parking lot, fire, explosion, cascade process
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