VNII GOChS (FC) of EMERCOM of Russia (leading researcher)
Russian Federation
UDC 551.588
Consideration of climate change is one of the key long-term security factors of the Russian Federation, and recognition of the problem of global climate change is one of the priorities of the domestic and foreign policy of the Russian Federation. The article discusses the problem of global warming in detail, provides information on changes in global surface air temperature in Russia and around the world. The features of climatic changes in the territory of country, including in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, are considered. The role of forests in achieving carbon neutrality goals is outlined, as well as the impact of forest fires in climate change. Information about the wooded area of Russia is provided. The forecast data of experts from the United Nations Office for disaster risk reduction on the number of natural disasters by 2030, the magnitude of projected damage from natural disasters by 2050, as well as the UNEP forecast on the growth of forest fires by 2030, 2050 and 2100 are presented. The problem of reducing the activities of the USA in the field of solving the problem of climate change is highlighted.
climate change, global warming, natural emergencies, forest fires, Arctic, United Nations Office for disaster risk reduction, Climate doctrine of the Russian Federation, carbon neutrality (net zero)
1. Doklad ob osobennostyah klimata na territorii Rossijskoj Federacii za 2023 g. M., 2024. 112 s.
2. The 2024 Annual Climate Summary. Global Climate Highlights 2024. URL: https://climate.copernicus.eu/global-climate-highlights-2024 (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
3. 2025 outlook: in top three warmest years on record. URL: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2024/2025-global-temperature-outlook (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
4. Copernicus: January 2025 was the warmest on record globally, despite an emerging La Niña. URL: https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-january-2025-was-warmest-record-globally-despite-emerging-la-nina (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
5. GISS Surface Temperature Analysis. URL: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/ (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
6. Mun D.V. Rossijskaya Federaciya – mirovoj lider adaptacii k global'nym klimaticheskim izmeneniyam i snizheniyu riska bedstvij // Obespechenie kompleksnoj bezopasnosti naseleniya i territorij v ekstremal'nyh klimaticheskih usloviyah» (v ramkah mezhvedomstvennyh opytno-issledovatel'skih uchenij sil i sredstv Edinoj gosudarstvennoj sistemy preduprezhdeniya i likvidacii chrezvychajnyh situacij v Arkticheskoj zone Rossijskoj Federacii «Bezopasnaya Arktika - 2025»): sb. materialov Mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf. M.: FGBU VNII GOCHS (FC), 2025. 403 s.
7. Weather-related disasters increase over past 50 years, causing more damage but fewer deaths. URL: https://wmo.int/media/news/weather-related-disasters-increase-over-past-50-years-causing-more-damage-fewer-deaths (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
8. Mun D.V., Popeta V.V., Mingaleev S.G. Klimaticheskie izmeneniya: Rossiya v zone povyshennogo riska // Ekonomika, predprinimatel'stvo i pravo. 2022. T. 12. № 10. S. 2895–2914. DOI:https://doi.org/10.18334/epp.12.10.116575. EDN VNXKCE.
9. Atlas smertnosti i ekonomicheskih poter' v rezul'tate ekstremal'nyh meteorologicheskih, klimaticheskih i gidrologicheskih yavlenij (1970–2019 gg.). URL: https://library.wmo.int/ru/ (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
10. Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction (GAR). Our World at Risk: Transforming Governance for a Resilient Future. URL: https://www.undrr.org/gar/gar2022-our-world-risk-gar (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
11. Celi v oblasti ustojchivogo razvitiya. URL: https://sdgs.un.org/ru/goals (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
12. Poteplenie v rossijskoj Arktike prevysilo srednemirovye tempy v neskol'ko raz. URL: https://lenta.ru/news/2022/11/16/poteplenie/ (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
13. Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Sixth Assessment Report. URL: https://www.unep.org/ru/resources/doklad/shestoy-ocenochnyy-doklad-mgeik-izmenenie-klimata-v-2022-godu (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
14. Klimaticheskaya doktriny Rossijskoj Federacii (utv. Ukazom Prezidenta Ros. Federacii ot 26 okt. 2023 g. № 812). Dostup iz sprav.-pravovoj sistemy «Konsul'tantPlyus».
15. Putin zayavil o poetapnom dvizhenii Rossii k nulevym vybrosam. URL: https://iz.ru/1587817/2023-10-11/putin-zaiavil-o-poetapnom-dvizhenii-rossii-k-nulevym-vybrosam (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
16. V Rossii rastyot bol'she vsego derev'ev v mire. URL: http://www.ecocommunity.ru/news.php?id=34585 (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
17. Gosudarstvennyj uchet lesnyh resursov // Spravochnik kadastrovogo inzhenera Cadastre.ru: monografiya / S.A. Atamanov [i dr.]. M., 2025. URL: http://cadastre.ru/article/29 (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
18. Frontiers 2022: Noise, Blazes and Mismatches. URL: https://www.unep.org/resources/frontiers-2022-noise-blazes-and-mismatches (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
19. K koncu veka chislo lesnyh pozharov vozrastet. URL: https://news.un.org/ru/story/2022/02/1418652 (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
20. Fires Ravaging Los Angeles Cause Over $50 Billion in Damage, Preliminary Estimates Say. URL: https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2025/01/09/fires-ravaging-los-angeles-cause-over-50-billion-in-damage-preliminary-estimates-say/ (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
21. The Los Angeles fires will be extraordinarily expensive. URL: https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/01/10/the-los-angeles-fires-will-be-extraordinarily-expensive (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
22. Adaptaciya k klimaticheskim izmeneniyam – klyuchevoe napravlenie mezhdunarodnogo sotrudnichestva v XXI v. / N. Doronin [i dr.]. URL: https://fedpress.ru/article/3281126 (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
23. Trump signs order to withdraw US from Paris climate agreement for second time. URL: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/20/trump-executive-order-paris-climate-agreement (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
24. Presidential Actions. Unleashing american energy executive order. January 20, 2025. URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/unleashing-american-energy/ (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
25. Eksperty podschitali poteri krupnejshih ekonomik ot stihijnyh bedstvij k 2050 godu. URL: https://rg.ru/2022/08/30/eksperty-podschitali-poteri-krupnejshih-ekonomik-ot-stihijnyh-bedstvij-k-2050-godu.html (data obrashcheniya: 19.02.2025).
26. Mezhdunarodnaya organizaciya grazhdanskoj oborony. URL: https://icdo.org/ru/ (data obrashcheniya: 18.02.2025).
