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Home / Journals / Scientific and analytical journal «Vestnik Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia» / Volume 2025 Issue 4 / FEATURES OF THE APPLICATION OF THE METHODOLOGY FOR DETERMINING THE CALCULATED FIRE RISK VALUES DURING THE TRANSPORTATION OF FLAMMABLE GOODS BY RAIL AND ROAD
FEATURES OF THE APPLICATION OF THE METHODOLOGY FOR DETERMINING THE CALCULATED FIRE RISK VALUES DURING THE TRANSPORTATION OF FLAMMABLE GOODS BY RAIL AND ROAD
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FEATURES OF THE APPLICATION OF THE METHODOLOGY FOR DETERMINING THE CALCULATED FIRE RISK VALUES DURING THE TRANSPORTATION OF FLAMMABLE GOODS BY RAIL AND ROAD
Leonchuk Petr 1
Prostov Evgeny 2
Fomin Maksim 3
Prostov Evgeniy 4
Authors:
1.  Vserossiyskiy ordena „Znak Pocheta“ nauchno-issledovatel'skiy institut protivopozharnoy oborony (chief of sector of fire safety of industrial facilities and technological equipment)

Russian Federation
2.  Russian order of the Badge of Honor scientific research institute of fire protection of EMERCOM of Russia (department of fire safety of building materials, leading researcher)

Russian Federation
3.  Vserossiyskiy ordena „Znak Pocheta“ nauchno-issledovatel'skiy institut protivopozharnoy oborony (chief of sector of fire danger of nuclear energy facilities)

Russian Federation
4.  Vserossiyskiy ordena „Znak Pocheta“ nauchno-issledovatel'skiy institut protivopozharnoy oborony (senior researcher at the department of fire safety of industrial facilities, technologies and modeling of accidents)

Russian Federation
Type:
Article
DOI:
https://doi.org/DOI: 10.61260/2218-13Х-2025-4-1-13
Pages:
from 1 to 13
Status:
Published
Received:
17.11.2025
Accepted:
18.12.2025
Published:
24.12.2025
Subject area:
UDC 614.841.12
Language:
Russian
Keywords:
fire risk, fire risk assessment, transportation of fire-hazardous goods, accident and fire statistics, fire safety of railway and automobile transportation
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The work is devoted to the assessment of parameters affecting the magnitude of fire risk during the transportation of flammable goods by rail and road. The paper presents the results of estimating the frequency of fire-related accidents for truck vehicles and for freight railcars per kilometer. The conducted experiment on the evacuation of people from a passenger car is also described, the results of evacuation times for various conditions of evacuation of people are presented, the experimental results are compared with the calculated ones obtained by applying a computational model based on an individually flow model of human movement, as well as taking into account the provisions of existing fire safety techniques. The convergence of experimental and calculated values of evacuation times is shown. Based on the analysis of literary sources, recommendations are given for assessing fire risk on transport routes, including the calculation procedure, proposed conditional probabilities used to build event trees, formulas for estimating the area of fuel spread during leakage from a railway tank, and for assessing social fire risk.

Keywords:
fire risk, fire risk assessment, transportation of fire-hazardous goods, accident and fire statistics, fire safety of railway and automobile transportation
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