ISSUES OF FORECASTING OF MATERIAL SUPPLY USING INDIRECT MATHEMATICAL MODELS

Chernykh A K; Kozlova I V; Vilkov V B

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ISSUES OF FORECASTING OF MATERIAL SUPPLY USING INDIRECT MATHEMATICAL MODELS

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ISSUES OF FORECASTING OF MATERIAL SUPPLY USING INDIRECT MATHEMATICAL MODELS

Journal: PROBLEMS OF RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE TECHNOSPHERE Volume 2015 № 4 , 2015

Rubrics: ECONOMY, CONTROL SYSTEMS

Chernykh A K ¹

Kozlova I V ²

Vilkov V B ³

Author and publication information

Authors:

1. Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia

2. Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia

3. Military academy of logistics behalf of the army general A.V. Khrulyov

Type:

Article

Pages:

from 107 to 117

Status:

Published

Received:

12.12.2015

Accepted:

20.12.2015

Published:

25.12.2015

Language:

Russian

Keywords:

mathematical models, options of transportation of material means, optimum solution of an indistinct transport task, indistinct set, indistinct number, membership function

Abstract and keywords

Abstract (English):
The approach realizing on the basis of mathematical apparatus of the theory of indistinct sets, forecasting of options of transportation of material means is presented to forces and means of the Ministry of Emergency Situations in the conditions of emergency situations of regional character. The mathematical model allowing in the conditions of representation of needs for material means of forces and means of the Ministry of Emergency Situations in the form of indistinct numbers to find optimum option of transportation of material means to the specified consumers is defined, and the algorithm of realization of this model is offered.

Keywords:
mathematical models, options of transportation of material means, optimum solution of an indistinct transport task, indistinct set, indistinct number, membership function

References

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