Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The paper analyses traffic accidents caused by low visibility due to fine aerosols of fog and/or smoke from wildfires. Based on the analysis of Russian and foreign sources of information, it was found that the share of such accidents can reach 0,7–5 % of the total number of accidents. Compared to accidents under good visibility conditions, fog/smoke related crashes tend to result in more severe injuries and involve more vehicles. The paper also provides an overview of models for assessing crash occurrence under different levels of visibility with respect to temporal distribution and influential factors of accidents and estimating the effects of various factors on injury severity in low visibility conditions, – all developed on the basis of logistic ordinal regression.

Keywords:
emergencies, traffic accidents, fog, wildfires smoke, low visibility, ordinal logistic models
Text
Publication text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. IPCC: AR6 Climate Change 2021: The physical science basis. Geneva, Switzerland. 2021.

2. Lozhkina O.V., Orlovcev S.V., Savinov A.G. Analiz vliyaniya izmeneniya klimata na prirodnye pozhary na primere Rossijskoj Federacii i ryada zarubezhnyh stran // Problemy upravleniya riskami v tekhnosfere. 2022. № 2 (63). S. 111-121.

3. Lozhkina O.V., Orlovcev S.V. Analiz vliyaniya izmeneniya klimata na prirodnye pozhary na primere Rossii // Pozharnaya bezopasnost': sovremennye vyzovy. Problemy i puti resheniya: materialy Vseros. nauch.-prakt. konf. SPb., 2022. S. 191-194.

4. Spreading like Wildfire - The rising threat of extraordinary landscape fires // A UNEP rapid response assessment. United Nations Environment Programme (2022). Nairobi, 2022. 126 p.

5. Shcheglova E.G. O vliyanii pogodnyh usloviĭ na pozhary prirodnyh ob"ektov // Vestnik OGU. 2013. № 1 (150). S. 166-170.

6. Dubrovskaya O.A., Mal'bahov V.M., Shlychkov V.A. Vliyanie massovyh lesnyh pozharov na ciklonicheskie processy v Sibiri // Vychislitel'nye tekhnologii. 2007. T. 12. № 2. S. 58-66.

7. Lozhkin V.N. Issledovanie vliyaniya torfyanogo pozhara na kompleksnuyu bezopasnost' avtotransportnogo dvizheniya // Problemy upravleniya riskami v tekhnosfere. 2022. № 2 (62). S. 88-93.

8. Lozhkin V.N. Modelirovanie opasnogo dlya naseleniya vozdejstviya torfyanogo pozhara // Sibirskij pozharno-spasatel'nyj vestnik. 2022. № 3 (26). S. 16-19.

9. Kompleksnaya ocenka i analiz pokazatelej dorozhno-transportnyh proisshestvij na primere regionov Chernozem'ya / A.S. Bobeshko [i dr.] // Mir transporta i tekhnologicheskih mashin. 2018. № 4. S. 62-68.

10. Nauchno-metodologicheskij podhod k snizheniyu avarijnosti na dorogah Rossijskoj Federacii / I.A. Novikov [i dr.] // Mir transporta i tekhnologicheskih mashin. 2019. № 3. S. 58-65.

11. A study on crashes related to visibility obstruction due to fog and smoke / M. Abdel-Atya [et al.] // Accident analysis and prevention. 2011. № 43. P. 1 730-1 737.

12. Association of reduced visibility with crash outcomes / S. Das [et al.] // IATSS Research. 2018. № 42. P. 143-151.

13. Real-time assessment of fog-related crashes using airport weather data: a feasibility analysis / M.M. Ahmed [et al.] // Accid. Anal. Prev. 2014. № 72. P. 309-317.

14. Wu Y., Abdel-Aty M., Lee J. Crash risk analysis during fog conditions using real-time traffic data // Accident Analysis & Prevention. 2018. Vol. 114. P. 4-11.

15. Calsavara F., Kabbach F.I., Larocca A.PC. Effects of fog in a brazilian road segment analyzed by a driving simulator for sustainable transport: drivers’ speed profile under in-vehicle warning systems // Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13: 10501.

16. Lee J., Abdel-Aty M.A. Investigation of low visibility related crashes in Florida // Final report. Contract BDV24-977-31. University of central Florida. 2019. 78 p.

17. Lozhkina O.V. Obzor zarubezhnyh podhodov dlya modelirovaniya rasprostraneniya dyma prirodnyh pozharov i prognozirovaniya ego vozdejstviya na bezopasnost' dorozhnogo dvizheniya // Problemy upravleniya riskami v tekhnosfere. 2020. № 1 (53). S. 100-105.

18. Lozhkina O.V., Onov V.A., Komashinskij V.I. Informacionnyj process monitoring i prognozirovaniya opasnogo vozdejstviya dyma torfyanogo pozhara na bezopasnost' dorozhnogo dvizheniya // Nauch.-analit. zhurn. «Vestnik S.-Peterb. un-ta GPS MCHS Rossii». 2021. № 3. S. 21-28.

19. Novikov I.A. Metodologiya prognozirovaniya i preduprezhdeniya dorozhno-transportnyh proisshestvij: dis. … d-ra tekhn. nauk. 2019. Orel: OGU im. I.S. Turgeneva. 305 c.

20. Dorozhno-transportnye proisshestviya za 12 marta 2023 goda na territorii Saratovskoj oblasti // Oficial'nyj sajt Glavnogo upravleniya MVD Rossii po Saratovskoj oblasti. URL: https://64.xn--b1aew.xn--p1ai/news/item/36436455/ (data obrashcheniya: 12.03.2023).

21. Krupnoe DTP proizoshlo v rajone podmoskovnogo goroda Zhukovskij // 1 kanal. Novosti. URL: https://www.1tv.ru/news/2015-02-10/26867-krupnoe_dtp_proizoshlo_v_rayone_podmoskovnogo_goroda_zhukovskiy (data obrashcheniya: 12.03.2023).

22. Osnovy raboty v programmnoj srede R pri analize biomedicinskih dannyh / V.L. Egoshin [i dr.] // Ekologiya cheloveka. 2018. № 7. S. 55-64.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?