In work the method of calculation of fire risk by means of logistic regression is offered. As operating parameters of regression it is offered to use the factor of the fire risk representing failure the relation of number of lost (victims) at fires of various categories of motor transport to the number of fires of the corresponding categories of motor transport. It is established that the smallest fire risk is observed at city electric transport (including the subway). Means of railway transport by results of the analysis should be carried to the most fire-dangerous.
fire risk, transport, logistic regression, stochastic modeling
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