We consider the problem of predicting the effectiveness of innovative technical solutions and technology (new technology) in the interests of transport safety. Formulated a criterion for evaluating the effectiveness of the application of new technology to ensure safety in transportation. The approach to the forecasting of economic efficiency of application of new technology and approach to forecasting the effectiveness of introducing new technology options in the case of several different alternatives of new technology and solutions to the problem of predicting the validity (quality) of an optimal variant of new technology from a set of alternatives.
forecasting efficiency, technical solutions, technologies, security, transport
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